Balm By Buck

Balm By Buck
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Friday, March 30, 2012

UPDATED! Severe Weather Expected for Ohio Valley Today

I PLAN ON UPDATING THIS BLOG AGAIN LATER TODAY WITH AN UPDATED LOOK AT THE SEVERE WEATHER, BUT HERE IS WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE NOW:

March has been a very odd month.  Today is the third Friday this month that severe weather will be expected.  The Storm Prediction Center with the National Weather Service has the Ohio Valley under a slight risk for severe weather later today.  Here is the breakdown:
We have a decent chance to see strong winds and hail.  The SPC has us under a 15% chance for severe winds, which are 60 mph or stronger.
SPC also has us under a 30% chance for hail an inch or larger.  This is a pretty significant chance.
To round out the severe threat, SPC has us under a 5% chance for tornadoes within a 25 mile radius.  This may seem low, but last Friday we were only a 2% chance and we had two tornadoes within the Miami Valley.  It looks like I will likely be called back into work later today.

We are dealing with showers this morning and MAYBE a rumble of thunder on the tail end of these showers just after daybreak.  We will dry out for midday, but then the storms roll in later today.  I think the first storms will start rolling into the Western Ohio around 5PM and then move east and out of here by midnight.  I will be back on with an update on our chances for severe weather so check back in.  The weekend MAY have a light shower, but I think most of us will be staying dry with rain returning for Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.  Temps will be jumping around, 69 Today for the high, 61 Tomorrow, 76 Sunday, 74 Monday, 71 Tuesday, and then upper 50's heading into the end of next week.  So seasonal temperatures for the most part.  See you on the flip side, later today, but until then, have a good one!

Best,
Andrew Buck Michael

~~~~UPDATE~~~~
The only BIG change from earlier is that the threat for severe winds has been bumped up to the 30% chance instead of 15%.  I am not surprised by this at all and actually think wind will be more of a problem than the hail because these storms are going to be moving very quick.  If the storms tap into speed and momentum they could very easily bring some damaging winds to the surface.  So stay alert as we head through the next several hours.  The current time is 3:20PM and there is no watch box issued yet, but there should be very shortly.  For any and all updates on breaking weather in the Miami Valley check the station's twitter: www.twitter.com/abc22fox45  Stay safe, have a good weekend, and let's hope it stays quiet.  -Buck

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