Thursday, November 24, 2011

Big changes in the forecast

At the end of yesterday's entry I made mention that the first couple systems of the year always tend to lift north and warm up. The forecast model must have heard me. This image is of the same time frame as yesterday's model. The low pressure is now forecasted north of Maine, we have warmer temperatures, and instead of seeing a possible rain/snow mix we might be seeing clear skies instead. These winter systems are a little more fickle than many other storms. I will keep an eye on it, but the only way we could have been more different by the middle of next week is if we were dealing with 80 degree temperatures...hey, stranger things have happened in Ohio. I expect a few more changes over the coming days. In years past there may be a renegade model a week out that actually pans out and shows snow and it turns out accurate, despite models closer to the date straying away from what actually will happen.

Quick check of your Thanksgiving Day forecast. Yesterday was a beautiful afternoon with plenty of sunshine and mild temperatures. Today will be much of the same with a little morning fog or cloudiness. We do have a few thin clouds now that will burn off quickly when the sun comes up (writing this at 4:53AM). Mild and mostly sunny for Friday as well with highs over the next few days in the upper 50's, near 60. Rain will roll in late Saturday night into Sunday morning and bring the cold blast of air. We could see a few snowflakes mix in late Sunday and maybe Monday. The moisture looks to pull out quickly, but we will still will be cold next week with highs near 40 and lows in the 20's. Enjoy your Thanksgiving and have a good one!

Andrew Buck Michael

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