Friday, October 22, 2010

Winter Outlook: Farmer's Almanac vs. Climate Prediction Center

Who do you trust:
Farmer's Almanac or Climate Prediction Center of the National Weather Service?

Well La Nina is strengthening, but the Farmer's Almanac might be not taking it too seriously...

Farmer's Almanac is predicting a colder and drier winter compared to average.  Farmer's Almanac also boasts that they correct with their forecasts 85% of the time.  However, the Climate Prediction Center is predicting just the opposite, slightly warmer than average, but wetter, and at least they have a good reason....the Pacific Ocean is cooler than normal and is continuing to cool meaning that La Nina is setting in and strengthening.

The last time we have seen La Nina this strong was back in 1995, where the Midwest saw record snowfalls.  Another strong La Nina was in 1988, another bad winter..... So I would say if it was up to me, I am leaning towards an average temperature winter (cold because it is always cold here) with more snow than average.  I hope you have your shovels and sidewalk salt ready....have a good one!

Andrew Buck Michael

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