Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Accumulating Snow?

After a cloudy, windy, warm day on Monday, today is the opposite. Well I guess it is still breezy, but we had rain this morning, sunshine now, and cold temps.  Changes are not over just yet either.  We will stay rather cool today as well as for Wednesday.  Showers will arrive in the afternoon for Wednesday and last through the day and evening on Thanksgiving, with occasional breaks.  We should easily be able to pick up about 1 or 1.5 inches of rain.  Warm air will surge into the area on Thursday, followed quickly by cold air.  There is no question that we will see the rain, but the thing we need to watch out for is the rain showers changing to snow showers early Friday.

Temps on Friday morning will quickly drop below freezing and will likely cause slick spots on bridges as ice starts to form.  Right now the forecast models are in general agreement that we will see a LIGHT accumulation of snow.  However, the surface will be warm and wet so the first part of the snow showers will melt.  It is still a ways out to try and give an exact number, especially with the ground being so warm.  I am going to go with the 48 hour rule for this winter, if we are expecting snow, I will try to have numbers out 48 hours in advance of the snow.  I want to inform you, the readers, as early as possible, but I don't want to stick my neck out there, and then the forecast change dramatically. So I will update my blog early Wednesday morning with my latest forecast thoughts along with how much snow I expect to accumulate. Have a good one!

Andrew Buck Michael

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