There is no doubt that freezing rain is the nastiest of winter precip. The picture above was from freezing rain that hit Ohio Feb 1, 2011. Here is the blog entry from that day. Our situation for tomorrow morning is similar, but also a little different... So here is the break down.
If we stayed below freezing the entire time then we would stay snow, but the warm air will melt any of the falling snow. The thin layer of below freezing temperatures at the surface will take the rain and make it freeze on contact of everything.
NOW... you are probably asking "What about where I live?" The atmosphere is water vapor. So take a cake dish and fill it with water, now put a small amount of cooking oil on top. Imagine that the oil is the above freezing temperatures. Slosh the dish around. The oil moves around and is pretty unpredictable. The more oil you add, the more predictable it is. Tomorrow will be similar to that. The warm air will be slowly moving in from the south so the south will see the snow change to freezing rain first and they will be the first to see the freezing rain transition to rain. In general it looks like the precip will start about 1-4AM and have switched over to freezing rain by 5-7AM and then finally switch over to rain by 9-11AM. Keep in mind that even after we warm above freezing it will still take some time to melt the ice. The good news is that we will will stay much drier and milder for the weekend. Just make sure to stay safe out there. Bill Kelly will be in later tonight for an update and Dana Turtle and Lisa Colbert will be tracking the storm tomorrow morning. It is my day off tomorrow, but would not be surprised to get a phone call to come in. Here is a link to my work Facebook page if you haven't stopped by yet. Have a good one!
Andrew Buck Michael