Sunday, January 30, 2011

Detailed Look at the Storm

This system still could shift, but here is my detailed thoughts as of 6 PM Sunday.

We will have a lot of moving parts and a lot of variations of precipitation. Light snow/sleet arriving Monday evening. This will transition over to sleet/freezing rain around midnight and continue on and off for the overnight hours.(The northern Miami Valley may see the snow stick around longer as their temps will be slightly cooler)  On Tuesday, temperatures will slowly rise above freezing starting in the south and lifting north.  Above freezing for the far south (meaning turning to rain) will be around the morning commute on Tuesday.  Dayton area and areas along I-70 will get above freezing, (meaning turning to rain) roughly midday Tuesday, and the above freezing line reaching the Northern third of the Miami Valley by the evening.  Temperatures will remain above freezing into early Wednesday morning until around the morning commute then they will plummet and fall below freezing quickly during the morning hours.  Once we fall below freezing Wednesday we will see the possibility of the rain turning over to an inch or two of snow (maybe more north), along with strong winds.

Breakdown by area:
Parts of the Northern Miami Valley could see a couple inches of snow followed by at least half an inch or more of icing by Tuesday night. (when the rain should begin and last briefly)

Central Miami Valley could see a light dusting of snow before it changes over to up to half an inch of icing by Tuesday midday. (when the rain should begin)

The Southern Miami Valley could see a light icing, around a quarter of an inch before the rain arrives Tuesday morning.

Of course this system could still shift slightly, but recent models are starting to agree on its path.  I will be back on to update any changes.  I will also be on in the morning doing the morning show, so I will be sure to give you a Monday morning update regardless.  Stock up and have a good one!

Andrew Buck Michael

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